Ulta doubles down on data, exclusive brands, and times square glam in beauty’s high-stakes growth race

The gist
Ulta Beauty and Estée Lauder are racing ahead with data-driven strategies, exclusive launches, and bold retail moves to dominate beauty's next growth wave.
What to know
- Ulta's partnership with YipitData and aggressive store expansion (including a flagship in Times Square) is fueling sharp merchandising and customer loyalty.
- Estée Lauder posted a 40% jump in adjusted EPS and 5% net sales growth in Q3 fiscal 2026, powered by AI personalization and a global luxury focus.
- Ulta’s Q1 2026 sales soared 11.1% to $3.16B, boosted by exclusive brands, omnichannel innovation like TikTok Shop, and a 47 million-strong rewards program.
Ulta’s Data Intelligence Edge
Ulta’s alliance with YipitData arms the retailer with near real-time analytics, enabling rapid merchandising pivots and laser-focused customer loyalty tactics in a fiercely competitive beauty market.
By mid-2026, Ulta Beauty's strategic partnership with YipitData marked a significant leap in data-driven merchandising through the integration of alternative data and near real-time analytics. This collaboration empowered Ulta to gain unprecedented visibility into evolving market trends, competitive dynamics, and shopper behavior across the beauty sector, enabling the retailer to respond swiftly and accurately to consumer preferences. Leveraging these insights, Ulta enhanced its assortment decisions and customer loyalty initiatives, underscoring how data intelligence fuels smarter, faster decision-making in a highly dynamic market.
Estée Lauder’s Dual-Powered Growth
Estée Lauder’s financial surge is driven by pairing global branding with region-specific execution and embedding AI personalization to capture the luxury consumer’s evolving demands.
By early 2026, Estée Lauder Companies (ELC) showcased a robust strategic vision that marries operational efficiency with ambitious growth, as evidenced by a 40% surge in adjusted earnings per share and a 5% increase in net sales during Q3 fiscal 2026. This financial upswing is rooted in the company’s Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP) alongside the transformative 'Beauty Reimagined' strategy, which together have not only enhanced profitability but also elevated the fiscal 2026 outlook. CEO Stéphane de La Faverie and Nadine Graf emphasized that this momentum is being leveraged through a dual approach: a cohesive global brand strategy paired with nuanced regional execution, particularly targeting expansion in high-growth markets like Mainland China and EMEA, signaling ELC’s commitment to both scale and local relevance.
Concurrently, Estée Lauder is proactively adapting to the evolving luxury consumer landscape by embedding digital engagement and AI-driven personalization at the core of its growth initiatives. This strategic pivot not only caters to the modern consumer’s demand for tailored experiences but also aligns with broader sustainability commitments, reflecting a holistic approach to innovation. By integrating advanced AI personalization tools, ELC aims to deepen customer connections and enhance brand loyalty, positioning itself at the forefront of luxury beauty’s digital transformation while reinforcing its sustainability ethos.
Omnichannel Fuels Ulta’s Surge
Ulta’s explosive sales are powered by exclusive launches, e-commerce innovation like TikTok Shop, and a rapidly expanding store network, all underpinned by AI-driven loyalty programs.
Ulta Beauty’s Q1 2026 sales surged 11.1% year-over-year to $3.16 billion, propelled by robust growth in fragrance and prestige categories, where exclusive brand launches such as NOYZ’s Mylk de Parfum and Rare Beauty played a pivotal role. This momentum was further amplified by a strategic expansion of omnichannel services, including mid-teen growth in e-commerce driven by same-day delivery, Buy Now, Pay Later options, and innovative digital initiatives like Ulta’s TikTok Shop, which offers exclusive bundles and early brand access to engage younger, Gen Z consumers.
Ulta’s omnichannel expansion is not limited to digital innovation; the company is also scaling its physical footprint, increasing store count from 1,451 to 1,608 locations and achieving a 5.3% same-store sales increase year-over-year, underscoring the success of its experiential retail efforts. Looking ahead, Ulta plans to elevate customer engagement with a highly experiential flagship store in Times Square slated for late 2027, signaling a commitment to blending immersive in-store experiences with its digital prowess.
Central to Ulta’s growth strategy is leveraging AI-driven personalization and data-centric loyalty programs, with the Ulta Beauty Rewards membership swelling to nearly 47 million. CEO Kecia Steelman highlighted how these data-driven initiatives, combined with in-store events and exclusive brand launches, have fostered broad-based sales strength across both physical and digital channels, particularly in fragrance and prestige segments. This approach not only enhances customer engagement but also supports incremental sales growth amid a competitive landscape.
Despite macroeconomic headwinds and intensifying competition, Ulta maintains a disciplined balance between investing in marketing and controlling costs, as CFO Christopher DelOrefice outlined plans for a step-down in SG&A growth later in 2026. The company’s focus on supply chain automation and data-driven shrink reduction has bolstered gross margins, enabling Ulta to uphold its full-year sales guidance and even raise operating income growth expectations. This disciplined execution underpins Ulta’s strategy to drive profit growth while expanding market share through exclusivity and brand-building.
Times Square Flagship: Ulta’s Showpiece
Ulta’s upcoming Times Square flagship will fuse immersive tech, entertainment, and bold visual impact to redefine beauty retail and captivate the next generation of shoppers.
By mid-2026, Ulta Beauty strategically committed to elevating its retail footprint through a landmark lease of the entire 26,000-square-foot space at 1551 Broadway in Times Square, a property owned by Jeff Sutton. This move, slated for a late 2027 opening, underscores Ulta’s ambition to craft a flagship store that transcends traditional shopping by integrating cutting-edge technology, immersive entertainment, and a commanding 250-foot exterior LED sign, thereby transforming customer engagement into a multisensory experience that aligns with evolving consumer expectations in prestige beauty retail.




