How do you balance risk in your VC portfolio?

Most answers emphasize diversification and balancing different factors to manage risk, though approaches vary from focusing on early-stage bets to structured frameworks or manager selection.

6 answers

Answers

  • Miles Dieffenbach

    Managing Director of Investments · Carnegie Mellon University

    Non‑Consensus Early Picks

    Miles Dieffenbach says his approach is true early-stage venture: finding non-consensus, against-the-grain ideas and investing before everyone else, because he thinks that business has a protected moat since it’s unnatural.

    OpenLP from Sapphire Partners · Watch on YouTube
  • Jeff Morris Jr.

    Founder & General Partner · Chapter One

    Many Small Checks

    Jeff Morris Jr. says he built a diversified fund with many smaller checks, following David Lee's advice to take many shots on goal so that the ones that work aren't sunk by the ones that don't.

    The answer starts at 1:19:27.

    The Peel with Turner Novak · Listen on Apple Podcasts
  • Morgan Flager

    Managing Partner · Silverton Partners

    Focus on Self-Sustaining Upside

    Morgan Flager says to focus on what could go right on its own—without him or Silverton fixing things—as the right lens, while still weighing what could go wrong.

    VC10X with Prashant Choubey · Watch on YouTube
  • Brian Singerman

    Partner · Founders Fund

    Two Buckets

    Brian Singerman says he puts venture capital into two buckets, beginning with tier one, when advising LPs like endowments or pension funds.

    Uncapped with Jack Altman · Watch on YouTube
  • Mark Peter Davis

    Managing Partner · Interplay

    Balance Idea, Team, KPIs

    Mark Peter Davis says he constructs his venture portfolio by balancing three things—idea, team and KPIs—since betting on all three together can take risk out of a deal, and playing those odds can be lucrative for LPs.

    The Full Ratchet (TFR): Venture Capital and Startup Investing Demystified · The Full Ratchet (TFR): Venture Capital and Startup Investing Demystified · Listen at 13:44
  • David Weisburd

    Founder · Weisburd Capital

    Diversify with Persistent Managers

    David Weisburd says the best risk-return experience comes from focusing on diversification—without being overly diversified—and concentrating capital with managers who have shown persistence and performance.

    How I Invest with David Weisburd · How I Invest with David Weisburd · Listen at 39:02

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